Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Format: Paperback / softback
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Published: 28th Feb '08
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. ‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday’He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent
|Dimensions||27 × 129 × 198 mm|