Catastrophes In Nature And Society: Mathematical Modeling Of Complex Systems

"The book makes people aware of the pending emergencies and helps them join the constructive process of monitoring the history." Igor Vorontsov Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow "A book about catastrophes may seem pessimistic. But the authors are looking into the mechanisms of disasters and thus make them avoidable." Professor Leo Levitin Boston University "Which chapter to read first? -- All are exciting." Dominique Proy Director, Earth Interactive Governance, Paris "This is an excellent guide to a scientific approach to catastrophes. It reports new original ideas presented with an incredible simplicity and accessible to general public." Professor Simon Shnoll Moscow University, Moscow "Catastrophes similar to those treated in this book are familiar to physicists as phase transitions in nonliving materials. Krasnoyarsk scientists ventured to explain and predict phase change in biological and social processes using their experience of studying complex systems in physics." Victor Bar'yahtar Ukraine National Academy of Sciences, Kiev "The book offers a new interpretation of economic crises prompted by comparison with population outbreaks. This is not a mere analogy but rather a modeling method to be used in planning and running industrial enterprises and solving environmental problems." Professor Dmitry Krass Toronto University "This is a really nice book with many fascinating points." Roberto Ceriani ICU Department of Humanitas-Gavazzeni, Bergamo