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Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data

Michael Dewar author Visakan Kadirkamanathan author Andrew Zammit-Mangion author Anaïd Flesken author Guido Sanguinetti author

Format:Paperback

Publisher:Springer International Publishing AG

Published:11th Oct '13

Currently unavailable, and unfortunately no date known when it will be back

Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data cover

This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions.
The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

ISBN: 9783319010373

Dimensions: unknown

Weight: unknown

74 pages

2013 ed.