A History of Dangerous Assumptions

This insightful book examines the consequences of misguided assumptions through numerous historical case studies, including A History of Dangerous Assumptions and its exploration of human error.

In A History of Dangerous Assumptions, readers are presented with over two hundred captivating case studies that delve into the repercussions of misguided beliefs throughout history. This exploration began as an experiment, aiming to uncover how assumptions have influenced human actions across different eras. The findings reveal that the act of assuming—often leading to hasty conclusions and a lack of evidence—has historically resulted in significant challenges for civilization, far beyond what one might anticipate.

The narratives within A History of Dangerous Assumptions span a wide range of historical events, from Hannibal's audacious journey across the Alps to Napoleon's ill-fated campaign in Moscow. The book also reflects on mythological figures like Icarus and Phaeton, illustrating how their hubris led to downfall. Furthermore, it covers real-world disasters, including the collapse of the Tay Bridge and the tragic sinking of the Titanic, highlighting a persistent pattern of human error driven by unfounded assumptions.

As the reader journeys through these stories, they will encounter a diverse array of characters and events, from the strategic miscalculations of World War I to the philosophical musings of Jean-Jacques Rousseau and the deductive reasoning of Sherlock Holmes. Each tale serves to illuminate the enigmatic nature of assumptions and their far-reaching impact on history, making this book a thought-provoking read for anyone interested in the complexities of human decision-making.