Reducing Uncertainty

"This is a well-documented, well-written piece by a former high-ranking member of the intelligence community . . . Recommended."—A. C. Tuttle, CHOICE
"Fingar provides a clear and useful tour of how intelligence analysis is produced."—Robert Jervis, Political Science Quarterly
"Tom Fingar provides a frank, detailed examination of the challenges to and successes of the US Intelligence Community. In doing so, he reveals insights and strategies that directly address our national security needs. High-stakes examples described by Fingar provide an insider-account only he can provide. The result is riveting and informative."—William J. Perry, Secretary of Defense for the United States, 1994 to 1997
"Tom Fingar's distillation of lessons learned during more than two decades at the nexus of intelligence analysis and national security decision-making is clear, concise, and brimming with insight. Reducing Uncertainty should be required reading for all who produce, use, or think about intelligence."—Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, National Security Advisor to Presidents Ford and George H.W. Bush
"When I was chief of staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell, the only person who spent more time in my office than the secretary was Tom Fingar. His insights, personal and professional, were always trenchant, always valuable. Reducing Uncertainty is jam-packed with such insights."—Lawrence Wilkerson, Visiting Harriman Professor of Government and Public Policy, College of William and Mary
"This book brings much light and clarity to a subject that is both important and all too often surrounded by erroneous suppositions and myths. There is not likely to be another treatment of intelligence analysis from an individual with such senior access to both the intelligence leadership and senior policy-makers."—David F. Gordon, Head of Research and Director of Global Macro Analysis, Eurasia Group
"As an editor and contributor, Dr. Fingar has joined breadth with focus, and parsimony with insight. This fine comparative study importantly suggests that to understand China's ever-changing foreign policy ties, we must understand what Beijing thinks countries can do for it' and do to it.'"—David M. Lampton, Johns Hopkins-SAIS and author of Following the Leader: Ruling China from Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping
"The New Great Game is a timely and learned contribution to our understanding of an understudied and increasingly important subject: China's relations with its Western neighbors."—Thomas J. Christensen, Princeton University and author of The China Challenge: Shaping the Choices of a Rising Power
"Beijing's ambitious plans for 'Silk Road' initiatives strengthening transportation, communications, and trade could transform Eurasia and deeply engage great powers such as Russia and India. Anyone interested in tracking these developments will find this book a godsend, filled with fascinating insights into the interplay of economic, historical, and geopolitical factors that will shape the outcome of this new great game."—J. Stapleton Roy, Founding Director Emeritus,Kissinger Institute on China and the United States