The Keys to the White House
A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President
Format:Paperback
Publisher:Rowman & Littlefield
Published:15th Feb '08
Should be back in stock very soon
Allan J. Lichtman reveals thirteen historical 'keys' that have accurately predicted presidential election outcomes, offering insights into electoral dynamics in The Keys to the White House.
In The Keys to the White House, Allan J. Lichtman, a distinguished political analyst and historian, unveils thirteen historical factors, referred to as 'keys,' that have effectively predicted the outcomes of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. These keys encompass four political factors, seven performance indicators, and two personality traits that together shape the electoral landscape. Lichtman's analysis provides a comprehensive framework that demystifies the complexities of electoral politics, offering readers a structured approach to understanding how elections are won and lost.
The author meticulously applies these keys to each presidential election over the years, demonstrating their predictive power. For instance, he accurately foresees the popular vote outcome in the contentious 2000 election, where Al Gore emerged victorious in terms of votes, despite losing the presidency. Lichtman also examines the 2004 election, where he highlights President Bush's reelection through the lens of his established keys. By doing so, he challenges conventional wisdom and encourages readers to rethink the factors that influence electoral success.
The Keys to the White House is not only a valuable resource for scholars and students of political science but also for everyday citizens keen to engage in the electoral process. Lichtman's insights empower readers to become informed participants in democracy, equipping them with the tools necessary to predict future elections and understand the underlying dynamics at play.
Do me a favor. Don't read this book. Because if you do, it could put all of us pundits and political consultants out of business. Allan Lichtman has some nerve, revealing our trade secrets to the great unwashed public. Including the biggest secret of all, which is that the presidential vote is simple, rational, and highly predictable. -- William Schneider, Political Analyst, CNN
Allan Lichtman's Keys to the White House serves as an important reminder to all of us, professional political analysts and interested citizens and observers alike, that fundamentals matter. Presidential elections are not personality contests or astrological events. Rational forces drive presidential election outcomes and nobody does a better job of making that case than Lichtman does. If you want to have the best chance of figuring out which side will win in November 2008, there is no better book to read. -- Charlie Cook, Editor and Publisher, The Cook Political Report; Fellow, Institute of Politics, Spring 2013
Of the hundreds of books written about presidential elections, one of the best is Allan J. Lichtman's The Keys to the White House. * Roll Call *
Overall, the 2008 edition that applies the keys to the 2008 presidential election is a useful update that will interest readers broadly. * Political Science Quarterly, October 1, 2009 *
For generations, politicians, pundits, and poll-takers have been seeking their version of the Holy Grail—a surefire, guaranteed way to predict presidential elections well ahead of time. It may have been found in this book. -- David Broder
Of the hundreds of books written about presidential elections, one of the best is Allan J. Lichtman's The Keys to the White House. * Roll Call *
ISBN: 9780742562707
Dimensions: 232mm x 153mm x 16mm
Weight: 331g
216 pages