GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) for Predicting Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate

This book lays out a science plan for a major, international, 15-year research program. The past 10 years have seen significant progress in studies of short-term climate variations, in particular for the region of the tropical Pacific Ocean and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Some forecast skill with lead times as long as a year in advance has already been developed and put to use. The GOALS program plans to capitalize on this progress by expanding efforts on observations and seasonal-to-interannual predictions to the remainder of the tropics and to higher latitudes.

Table of Contents

• FRONT MATTER
• EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
• 1 INTRODUCTION
• 2 THE GOALS PROGRAM AND ITS SCIENTIFIC OBJECTIVES
• 3 LARGE-SCALE INTERACTIONS AMONG THE UPPER OCEAN, ATMOSPHERE, AND LAND
• 4 ELEMENTS AND GROWTH OF THE PROGRAM
• 5 DATA MANAGEMENT
• 6 RELATIONSHIP OF GOALS TO OTHER PROGRAMS
• 7 GOALS PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• APPENDICES
• APPENDIX A: PRESENT STATUS OF SHORT TERM CLIMATE PREDICTION
• APPENDIX B: THE 1993 GOALS STUDY CONFERENCE
• APPENDIX C: ACRONYMS AND OTHER INITIALS
• REFERENCES
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