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Lost Decade

The US Pivot to Asia

Robert Blackwill author Richard Fontaine author

Format:Hardback

Publisher:Oxford University Press Inc

Published:30th Sep '24

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Lost Decade cover

Lost Decade is an essential guide for understanding the historic shift to Asia-centric geopolitics and its implications for America's present and future. Across the political spectrum, there is wide agreement that Asia should stand at the center of US foreign policy. But this worldview, first represented in the Obama Administration's 2011 "Pivot to Asia," marks a dramatic departure from the entire history of American grand strategy. More than a decade on, we now have the perspective to evaluate it in depth. In Lost Decade, Robert Blackwill and Richard Fontaine—two eminent figures in American foreign policy—take this long view. They conclude that while the Pivot's strategic logic is strong, there are few successes to speak of, and that we need a far more coherent approach to the Indo-Pacific region. They examine the Pivot through various lenses: situating it historically in the context of America's global foreign policy, revealing the inside story of how it came about, assessing the effort thus far, identifying the ramifications in other regions (namely Europe and the Middle East), and proposing a path forward. The authors stress that the US has far less margin for foreign policy error today than a decade ago. As the international order becomes more unstable, Blackwill and Fontaine argue that it is imperative that policymakers fully understand what the Pivot to Asia aimed to achieve—and where it fell short—in order to muster the resources, alliances, and resolve to preserve an open order in Asia and the world. Crafting an effective policy for the region, they contend, is crucial for preserving American security, prosperity, and democratic values.

Getting Asia right is the single most important issue for American foreign policy. This bracing book must be read by anyone who wants to understand or shape policy. Agree or disagree, this is a perspective that must be reckoned with. * Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary *
An important and well-researched explanation of the flawed assumptions that underpinned US policy for far too long. * General H.R. McMaster (ret.), former U.S. National Security Advisor *
Three administrations in a row, on a bipartisan basis, have now prioritized Asia in key strategic documents. Yet the day-to-day preferences of the U.S. government have demonstrated that this shift exists on paper only, with few concrete resource or force allocation shifts to speak for over a decade of apparent effort.Lost Decade represents an important contribution to help policymakers understand why the long-promised pivot to Asia failed to materialize, and just as important, how America can meet the scale of the challenge in its priority theater. * Representative Mike Gallagher, Chairman of the Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party *
A must-read for foreign policy analysts. Blackwill and Fontaine's diagnosis of America's failed Pivot to Asia-a "historic missed opportunity" - is a compelling explanation of why reordering priorities in American foreign policy is almost too hard. * Dr. Graham Allison, Harvard Professor; Author of Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? *
Lost Decade constitutes an enormously important contribution by two universally respected practitioner-scholars and clearly identifies the actions that need to be taken by the United States and its allies to accomplish the most important task in the world today - ensuring that the elements of deterrence in the IndoPacific region are absolutely rock solid. * General David Petraeus (ret.), former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency *
In Lost Decade, Robert Blackwill and Richard Fontaine examine America's decade-plus attempt to focus on Asia. Their account details a critical period in the history of U.S. foreign policy, and it discerns lessons directly applicable to today's policy choices. In calling for a renewed pivot to Asia while maintaining key commitments elsewhere, the authors offer a grand strategic approach to the new world now upon us. All those interested in the great foreign policy issues of our day should read this book. * Governor Jon Huntsman, Former U.S. ambassador to China and Russia *
Blackwill and Fontaine bring their extensive government and academic experience to bear in documenting the Pivot's history, and they articulate a new strategic concept that couples a focus on China with other threats that aren't going away. A must-read for policymakers and others trying to make sense of a world awash with challenges. * Representative Jane Harman, former Congresswoman; Chair, Commission on National Defense Strategy *
This authoritative, carefully-researched study shows why the pivot never quite materialized...but also explains why it is still needed and what is required for it to become a reality. * Dr. Richard Haass, President Emeritus, Council on Foreign Relations; former Director of Policy Planning, U.S. State Department *
Meticulously researched and powerfully argued, Lost Decade lays out why the United States' last "pivot" to Asia fell short and why we can't afford to fall short again. Fontaine and Blackwill take on some of the most fundamental questions in U.S. foreign policy while retaining a sharp focus on practical solutions, making Lost Decade vital reading not just for policymakers, but for anyone interested in the past, present, and future of American grand strategy. * Representative Seth Moulton, Congressman, Massachusetts *
Lost Decade raises grand strategic questions about how the United States should deal with China that foreign policy thinkers and practitioners must address. Happily, it provides specific answers that are likely to attract bipartisan support, including a policy "to-do list." Even China watchers who disagree with the authors' assumptions and conclusions will find this a valuable read. * Dr. Anne-Marie Slaughter, Former Director of Policy Planning, U.S. State Department *
Lost Decade easily joins the short but growing list of must-read books to better understand the past, present, and future of U.S.—China strategic competition. It is an astute and reproving accounting of successive missed opportunities and missteps, but also an incisive diagnostic inspection of the structural shortcomings of American policymaking. * Joshua Huminski, Diplomatic Courier *
For an understanding of how difficult it will be to execute on the policy options and the challenges in doing so, Lost Decade is the book you want. * Martin Petersen, Cipher Brief *
Blackwill and Fontaine's book provides a depressingly comprehensive account of how bureaucratic inertia and geopolitical distraction undermined the logic behind Obama's original pivot.... an important book. * James Crabtree, Financial Times *
The authors are very convincing in their case for a new Pivot to ensure that China is either unable or unwilling to overturn the rules-based international order.... For people like this reader who lived through the "Lost Decade," it will be a delight to read through this well documented and logically ordered narrative of the period's events. * John West, Australian Institute of International Affairs *
Lost Decade: The US Pivot to Asia and the Rise of Chinese Power by Robert D. Blackwill and Richard Fontaine offers a critical examination of the United States' foreign policy shift towards Asia, initiated during the Obama administration in 2011. The authors argue that while the strategic logic behind the "Pivot to Asia" was sound, its implementation fell short of expectations, resulting in few tangible successes. * Sungsoo An, LinkedIn *
For people like this reader who lived through the "Lost Decade," it will be a delight to read through this well documented and logically ordered narrative of the period's events. There are of course commentators who quibble with details in the story. But the US' weakened position in Asia is a reality, which is important to understand, especially as we prepare for the unforeseeable consequences of the upcoming US presidential elections. For these reasons, this book is a "must-read" for all interested in international relations. * John West, Australian Outlook. *

ISBN: 9780197677940

Dimensions: 240mm x 166mm x 32mm

Weight: 839g

480 pages